The U.S. White House Office of National Drug Control Policy’s (ONDCP) recently released coca/cocaine statistics for Bolivia present confusing results. The ONDCP reports a 4.28% increase in coca cultivation in Bolivia since 2015 (despite UN reports that coca cultivation has decreased for the fifth year in a row) and a 24.32% surge in cocaine production.
However, they provide little explanation of the methodology used to calculate these figures. Furthermore, the ONDCP inflate its statistics, and then retroactively change them. The following chart shows varying ONDCP statistics for the same years on different dates. For example, the 2011 potential cocaine production figures posted on Saturday, August 27 show a lower figure for 2011 potential cocaine production than what was published in 2012, with no explanation. This is not the first time AIN has noticed ONDCP retroactive modifications. These repeated retroactive adjustments and lack of a transparent methodology raise questions about the credibility of ONDCP coca and cocaine estimates for Bolivia.